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20120926
20121004
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CSPAN
Sep 27, 2012 6:00am EDT
voters. these are huge changes and odyssey they do exactly against within inches of the romney team in wisconsin. so maybe they thought if they nominate paul ryan they would be able to take advantage what they believe to be this massive culturally conservative white working-class voters in the state but again it doesn't seem to be happening. they are making some progress, some progress among current nine but it's not anywhere close to what's needed to take the state. so they're not able to sort of master the state in the face of this demographic change and support. florida is a state that lets face it is the romney campaign loses florida, their chances of winning the 2012 election are close to zero i think. and right now this point the obama campaign is running a little bit ahead in florida by several points, according to the latest polls. if we look at the pattern of support among groups like hispanics, we look at the patter of support among groups like the white working-class where again you see the best group for romney, mccain carried in by 17 points in 2008. we look at the brea
CSPAN
Sep 30, 2012 11:30pm EDT
discussion on the voter side crunching and processing data. >> host: if we were to go to the romney campaign, how many people -- is there a lot of young staff? >> guest: in chicago dozens of people on how you define it in the fund raising data online analytics in every state they are hiring for better data jobs and voter file managers and targeting directors that's the the bombing campaign has thousands around the country and they are directly interacting with every day. >> do you think the party of the republicans or democrats is more at that at using this technique or are they all the same level? >> guest: the democrats are ahead and we have seen leapfrogging from cycle to cycle, and one of the things that becomes clear as i looked back over where innovation takes place it is one of the stories they are resistant to innovation. if you build a company it lasts six months or 18 months. you don't know if your budget is going to be in advance. you are concerned about market share, nobody has a the incentive to invest that would yield lessons after the day of the election. typically, t
CSPAN
Sep 25, 2012 8:00pm EDT
, eligible voters. these are huge changes and they go exactly against what is in the interest of the romney team. the romney team in wisconsin. maybe if they thought they would be able to take advantage what they believed to be this conservative white working-class voters by electing nominating paul ryan. they are making some progress, according to the poll, but some progress among white college graduates, but it's not anywhere close to what needs to take place. florida is a state, let's face it, if the romney campaign loses florida, chances of winning the 2012 election are close to zero. if we look at the pattern of support among the white working class, 17 points in 2008. we are not seeing any noticeably eager margin since 2008 among white working class voters. that is also being translated into similar margins in places like the corridor of the center of the state. by and large, not much progress is being made by the romney campaign. when we see again, minorities and white college graduate voters going up. the key state of virginia, among white working-class voters -- mccain carried this
CSPAN
Oct 3, 2012 8:00pm EDT
of ingrained in average voters mind a perception of romney. and i think they did it very fine job at it. i think it's part what romney campaign is trying to reposition itself and trying to move forward on. >> the obama campaign did a masterful job too before we go there. >> a lot more money. >> i think -- [inaudible] what percentage do you think of the cross odes and gps ads the federal, the nonpresidential. you think will be comparative? have some element of positive to it? >> well, glsh did or do at a date. that's an excellent question. because we can't -- because outside groups can't coordinate. i think it's interest farring class like this. outside groups can't coordinate with candidates and party committee for television ads it means the candidate can't star in the ads. right. we could go mitt romney event and film romney footage. would we getting the same things the news crew get. we can't shoot an ad of romney talks to the call are a why he'll be the best president. what it does is the anticoordination laws they almost make all the outside group negative because at that point
CSPAN
Oct 4, 2012 9:00am EDT
needed to happen and romney connecting with voters on a personal level needed to happen in should've and should have happened a long time ago. and it may have partially happened last night and so part of this may be doing some, getting some tasks completed the connections that probably should have happened in june or july or august are at the convention so i think there may be some lost ground here but i think the next two debates -- it's a really close race and it's now going to be a really really close race and you know everything is important. maybe you should alternate those sides. okay, in the very back row up against the window. >> todd preston with the u.s. global leadership coalition. one demographic i don't think has come up so far this morning is 65 and older. could you talk a little bit about how you are seeing polls of that demographic change and to the extent that this election of paul ryan and his liabilities on medicare is becoming a problem for the romney campaign and perhaps even in some of the senate raises? >> who would like to go first? >> well, in 2008, if we just lo
CSPAN
Sep 30, 2012 9:00pm EDT
voter file managers who are just dealing with the data and targeting people just dealing with data you get to the campaigns and one of the things the romney campaign said to do this summer after they won the nomination was and increasingly that sort of function is becoming a core function of the campaign and used to be to the extent you have was fund-raising and you could buy them from the vendors or consultants, and now people will have what they call one different things but there's basically a core function of the modern campaign to have people who are especially on the voter side just country and processing data. >> host: if any of us were to go into the romney campaign or obama campaign and look at the headquarters, are there a lot of young staff? what does it look like? >> guest: in chicago dozens of people depending on how you define that, the online analytical and every state they are hiring for jobs that are data jobs and the targeting directors. the obama campaign will want thousands of people run the country and hundreds of them are directly interacting with the data eve
CSPAN
Sep 29, 2012 10:00pm EDT
, basically it's a core function of a modern campaign to have people especially on the voter side just crunching and processing data. >> host: if any of us were to go into the romney campaign are the obama campaign and we were to look around the headquarters how many people -- is there a lot of young staff? what does it look like? >> guest: chicago dozens of people doing voter data and date and fundraising data on line analytics and every state there are jobs that are data jobs, voter file managers targeting directors. the obama campaign while thousands of people around the country hundreds of them are directly interacting with data every day. >> host: do you think one of the parties, the republicans are the democrats, is more adept at using this technique or they'll sort of at the same level? >> guest: i think at the moment the democrats are ahead to some leapfrogging cycle to cycle with different parties and one of the things that he comes clear and as i look back over where innovations took place it is one of the stories in this book that these campaigns are really persistent innova
CSPAN
Sep 26, 2012 12:00pm EDT
to be the case. when we look at polls, non college voters romney is nowhere close to driving up that margin among white working-class voters. he is in fact at best two points better than mccain in 2008 and doing no better among white college graduates so that is one reason why the state at this point looking favorable to barack obama and carry it by as much as he did in 2008 and also if you look at it geographically obama is doing well in the columbus area in the center which is the string -- swing region and holding support where it counts and that is true with a lot of state. this is pennsylvania which if the romney team could have put pennsylvania in play it would have been the key to a lot of things but the problem for them now is pennsylvania is looking very difficult. obama is running maybe ten point margin in the states. it is not happening for the romney campaign and it is back to what was their big hope to drive up the white working-class margin which as you see in 2008 was a 15 point advantage for john mccain but the polls out of pennsylvania again and again show romne
CSPAN
Oct 4, 2012 6:00am EDT
in average voter's mind, a certain perception of mitt romney, and to think that they did a really fine job at it and i think as part of what the romney campaign is trying to reposition itself and figure out how to move forward on. >> the obama campaign did a massive job, too before we got there. spent a lot more money. i actually think, i wonder what percentage do you think of the crossroads, the gps ads, the federal nonpresidential do you think will be comparative, to have some element of positive to it, or to date? >> that's a very, very good question. that's an excellent question and it kind of tangential. because outsiders can't courtney, i think it's interesting for an outside groups can't coordinate with candidates and party committees. for television ads, the candidate can really start in our and. we could go to a mitt romney event and film for mitt romney fully but we be getting the same thing that the news crews get. we can't shoot an ad of mitt romney talking to the camera about why he would be the best president. so what kind of does, the anti-coordination lost almost a
CSPAN
Sep 27, 2012 12:00pm EDT
romney the elite of wealth. but when it comes to personal appeal to voters, obama is clearly ahead right now as you can see from the figures. and if you look at the job approval ratings, the latest job approval ratings on page 2 all are 50% or higher, which is the critical threshold for a president who's running for re-election. and on the back page you'll find the latest senate rankings where democrats have picked up some momentum. today we're talking about national security, and in about an hour, little over, i think the president will be addressing the united nations. so, um, this could not be timelier. we have three guests, all of whom have had pentagon positions in the obama administration, and i believe you're all on the national security advisory committee for the re-election campaign? so you're political as well as foreign policy experts. i'm going to introduce them one at a time, and then as i introduce them, i am going to put a question to each of them in his or her area of expertise, and then having done that, we'll open it up to questions from you. first, i'm going to s
CSPAN
Sep 25, 2012 11:00pm EDT
margin of 20 points for mitt romney, a margin of 22 points. but no word you see these outsize marches that he really needs to win the election given how obama is doing among minority voters but given how he appears to be holding the support and then some among white college graduates voters. that is where we are now in the national picture. of course as we know this election, this oddly enough not decided by the popular vote. that would be a silly and weird thing to do. instead we have this electro the system. so in of the story. that means that the election really comes down to typically the outcomes and a number of different battle ground states. this is the battle ground as we laid it out in our first, three dockets. six states in kind of the west-midwest. pennsylvania, ohio, minnesota, michigan, iowa. three states in the southwest. three states in the near south and north carolina, virginia, and florida. now, these buckets of it's a pretty different, as you'll see. the six states, it's more heavily white. the level of demographic change, and there are more -- you know, the
CSPAN
Sep 26, 2012 5:00pm EDT
on average read a lot of demographic change. you can see the minority eligible voters have gone up by three percentage points and working-class voters in 2008 have gone down by three percentage points. again it doesn't appear that romney is able to turn the demographics tie in his favor. he's not doing much better among the white working-class voters according to the polls i've seen. he's made some progress on the outside margin that obama got 14 points in 2008 among the college graduate voters but he's not making nearly enough voters to take the state and if you break it down geographically the denver metro area is about half the vote in the state but that looks very similar in the polling data as it did in 2008. finally, the poster child for demographic change in the united states and how it's been shifted pretty rapidly over time as the great state of nevada. obama is running ahead of though not nearly as far as he did in 2008. but it still will cut off on my monitor but you can see an incredible increase of nine percentage points for the share of eligible voters who are minorit
CSPAN
Oct 3, 2012 11:00pm EDT
study, what seeps in. coverage eventually seeps in and affects mood of swing voters. >> the question becomes, romney had a good night tonight. does that give him momentum where that changes the dynamics of the campaign and come in again the in next debate and build on that and give two more dominant performances? or, do we have the vp debate next week that changes the narrative once again? i think you can expect the president to come in stronger and crisper next time. the president is a fierce competitor. he does not like to lose. so i think we can all assume that he will go back and do many so more debate prep. >> what we'll see from the obama staff and surrogates in their appearances next 20 four hours push this back being a choice between two people. mitt romney moved it back more referendum on the president. we have the official obama spin. this is the literal party line, what they're going to be saying in their tv appearances in the morning. they say mitt romney continues to fail the details test. tax cuts, replacing obama, replacing wall street reform. double down on the big ec
CSPAN
Sep 26, 2012 9:00am EDT
debate your most effective if you can make a clean shot. and resonate with voters. to my predictions, romney will repeat his claim that obama got $700 billion from medicare. now, during the primaries the republicans used to claim that obama fund his health care plan with $500 billion in cuts. so how did it balloon to $700 billion? is a simple explanation to the congressional budget office over the summer issued a new asset based on a different and later tenure timeline. and so republicans decided to take the biggest number possible. but medicare spending does not mean it is being reduced to in the $700 billion figure comes from the different over 10 years between anticipated medicare spending, what is known as the baseline, and changes to laws made to reduce spending. the savings are mostly run out of from health care providers, not medicare beneficiaries. and actually the medicare actuary raised significant doubts whether any of these cuts would take place because there actually a bit onerous. according to medicare trustee reports, for those -- proposed reduction in spending action
CSPAN
Sep 29, 2012 2:15pm EDT
million voters in these ten states. now have already told you, mitt romney is extraordinarily well qualified and proving that. speech after speech, the speech in israel and the speech before the veteran foreign war was great, and i assume the convention speech will be all month. and and so the question will come down to the argument that is made about president obama, and it is not really going to be an argument so much as it will be about reminding people. when i set out to do the brief against obama isolated out. actually get my radio audience. how many of the listen to the radio show. thank you. how many of you call the show? isn't that remarkable. i always ask people. for people. if i have been me, nice. i'm not rochon to even my liberal colors, but it is interesting that that is about four out of 200 plus people who have actually called the radio show. pick up the phone. it is a national show. in 100 cities. people could call from all over. when i got the idea for the brief i said, hey, what is the worst thing that president obama has done? they could have gone for a couple of
Search Results 0 to 14 of about 15